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Great by Choice

In "Great by Choice," Jim Collins and Morten Hansen reveal the secrets of 10X companies that excel amid chaos and uncertainty. Through nine years of research, they uncover principles like disciplined preparation and innovative risk management to help leaders thrive, proving that greatness is a choice, not a chance.

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About this book

In "Great by Choice," Jim Collins and Morten Hansen reveal the secrets of 10X companies that excel amid chaos and uncertainty. Through nine years of research, they uncover principles like disciplined preparation and innovative risk management to help leaders thrive, proving that greatness is a choice, not a chance.

Five Key Takeaways

  • Companies excel by thriving amid uncertainty and chaos.
  • Rigorous preparation enables leaders to navigate challenges effectively.
  • The 20 Mile March fosters consistent discipline for success.
  • Testing ideas with low-risk experiments enhances decision-making.
  • Successful leaders maximize opportunities presented by luck.
  • Successful Companies Thrive in Uncertainty

    Companies that excel in chaotic environments actively shape their futures, rather than merely reacting to circumstances. Research highlights this as a critical factor for success (Chapter 1).

    For example, 10X companies consistently outperformed their industry by at least tenfold, showcasing that greatness is attainable even amid turbulence.

    Uncertainty doesn't inherently hinder success but instead serves as a proving ground for resilience, innovation, and disciplined execution.

    This highlights that business greatness arises not from luck but from the ability to adapt and respond to challenging conditions strategically.

    Moreover, unpredictability becomes an opportunity for growth for organizations that prepare and respond proactively, as exemplified by Southwest Airlines.

    If businesses fail to adapt, they lose competitive advantage, often succumbing to the chaos surrounding them. Reactive behavior limits long-term growth.

    On the other hand, companies focused on thriving in uncertainty inspire a broader culture of innovation and strategic risk management across their teams.

    This fact underscores a powerful truth: adversity doesn’t define outcomes—actions do.

  • Adopt the 20 Mile March

    In volatile environments, businesses need consistent, disciplined progress. This approach, known as the 20 Mile March, is vital for steady growth.

    The action involves setting clear, measurable performance goals and ensuring progress regardless of external conditions—both favorable and challenging.

    For example, Stryker maintained a fixed growth benchmark of 20% net income across decades, ensuring discipline and sustainability.

    This method reduces the temptation to overextend during boom times and safeguards against despair during downturns. Steady progress ensures control.

    Organizations benefit through resilience, as consistent achievement builds momentum and confidence. Teams rely on clear targets to maintain focus and stability.

    Abandoning this principle risks inconsistent performance, leading to erratic decision-making and vulnerability during unpredictable times.

    The 20 Mile March empowers companies to navigate uncertainty steadily, fostering accountability and long-term success.

  • Fire Bullets Before Cannonballs

    In dynamic markets, great companies test ideas with small, low-risk experiments, referred to as bullets, before investing heavily.

    The action is to conduct empirical trials to gauge effectiveness and use the results to guide broader strategies, ensuring smarter decisions.

    This prevents waste by filtering out ineffective approaches early. Lessons learned help refine business models before significant resource commitment.

    Testing first leads to efficient use of resources and minimizes loss from uncalculated risks. Think low-cost experimentation before major investments.

    Adopting this strategy enables companies to manage uncertainty, fostering innovation without jeopardizing stability or long-term growth.

    If businesses skip this step, they risk costly failures from hasty investments that lack validation. Cautious testing builds a foundation for success.

    Ultimately, by firing bullets, companies mitigate risks while paving the way for confident large-scale initiatives, or "cannonballs." This cultivates sustainability.

  • Discipline Defines Resilient Companies

    Disciplined companies routinely maintain a regimented approach to their processes, even in chaotic environments (Chapter 3).

    Resilience stems from consistent performance routines, such as adhering to measurable standards like the 20 Mile March principle.

    When companies prioritize disciplined, incremental growth rather than reactive measures, they build stronger foundations to withstand adversity.

    For example, Genentech thrived by sticking to a goal-oriented routine that emphasized accountability and continuous improvement.

    This discipline nurtures confidence and reliability within a company's teams and stakeholders, contributing directly to future triumphs.

    A lack of structured discipline can lead to missed opportunities or worse—organizational failure when faced with turbulence.

    This reveals a significant truth: discipline, not just creativity or vision, ensures long-term resilience and success in volatile markets.

    Structured processes are not restrictive but liberating, allowing companies to grow in stability and capability even during uncertainty.

  • Leaders Must Expect the Unpredictable

    Many leaders underestimate how unexpected crises can undermine their businesses. This leaves them exposed to unnecessary risks.

    Failing to prepare for turbulent trends leads to rushed, reactive decisions that hinder progress and stability, resulting in potential failures.

    Crisis-related disruptions increase in an ever-changing world. Leaders who cannot anticipate or adapt often lose vital competitive advantage.

    The authors argue that embracing "productive paranoia" helps leaders plan for worst-case scenarios, building buffers for inevitable challenges.

    For example, successful companies maintain cash reserves, avoiding financial distress when market conditions change suddenly.

    Preparedness doesn’t eliminate risk but strengthens one's capacity to navigate and capitalize on challenges confidently.

    This perspective stresses the importance of prioritizing contingency plans. Proactive leaders can outperform competitors by acting strategically in chaos.

    The lesson: Waiting until the crisis hits is too late! Build protective measures in advance to succeed against volatility and unexpected downturns.

  • Calibrated Cannonballs Ensure Impact

    Calibrated cannonballs, backed by data, represent large-scale, high-impact initiatives that succeed due to prior testing and validation (Chapter 5).

    Reckless, untested moves—called uncalibrated cannonballs—often lead to failure, wasting resources and damaging long-term viability.

    Validated strategies tested through bullets prove much more effective and allow businesses to focus their resources on proven opportunities.

    Southwest Airlines exemplifies this, achieving success not through wild bets but with incremental tests followed by precise, calculated decisions.

    By investing heavily only when success is almost certain, companies increase their returns and loyalty from their stakeholders.

    Uncalibrated moves hurt not just financially, but strategically, creating unpredictability that undermines an organization’s culture and credibility.

    Companies that master calibrated cannonballs maintain steady growth, build customer trust, and foster innovation without succumbing to financial disasters.

    This approach reaffirms the value of pairing creativity with disciplined execution to secure sustainable long-term success in uncertain markets.

  • Luck Isn't Enough to Succeed

    People often attribute success to luck, but this oversimplifies how achievement actually works in competitive environments.

    Many companies fail by assuming luck alone will guarantee success, neglecting the preparation required to seize rare opportunities.

    The authors stress that maximizing luck depends on disciplined execution and the ability to act decisively when lucky breaks occur.

    Organizations must proactively prepare themselves to convert random luck—positive or negative—into real, actionable opportunities.

    For example, 10X companies often transform bad luck into stepping stones toward innovation and success by acting strategically under pressure.

    Luck alone cannot ensure greatness. It’s how firms manage, prepare, and react to lucky moments that define their ultimate trajectories.

    This insight reframes the idea of success, placing emphasis on sustained effort, readiness, and disciplined decision-making over blind chance.

    Luck may open the door, but hard work and preparation are what determine whether you walk through it fully equipped for success.

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